Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.018923 0.020825 0.022737 0.024798 0.026953 0.029136 0.031509
2025-06-08 0.015010 0.017960 0.021047 0.024496 0.028219 0.032099 0.036429
2025-06-15 0.012760 0.016306 0.020132 0.024516 0.029354 0.034489 0.040313
2025-06-22 0.010826 0.014737 0.019079 0.024167 0.029888 0.036054 0.043139
2025-06-29 0.009152 0.013283 0.018000 0.023648 0.030106 0.037161 0.045358
2025-07-06 0.007464 0.011653 0.016588 0.022630 0.029659 0.037441 0.046580
2025-07-13 0.006719 0.011098 0.016379 0.022950 0.030687 0.039331 0.049557
2025-07-20 0.005872 0.010337 0.015862 0.022856 0.031195 0.040597 0.051800
2025-07-27 0.005094 0.009596 0.015317 0.022683 0.031572 0.041682 0.053811
2025-08-03 0.004706 0.009346 0.015361 0.023203 0.032748 0.043671 0.056837
2025-08-10 0.004088 0.008718 0.014884 0.023050 0.033098 0.044683 0.058728
2025-08-17 0.003501 0.008081 0.014354 0.022801 0.033306 0.045510 0.060388
2025-08-24 0.003006 0.007564 0.013999 0.022808 0.033882 0.046840 0.062722
2025-08-31 0.002458 0.006909 0.013429 0.022531 0.034113 0.047777 0.064625
2025-09-07 0.002068 0.006458 0.013109 0.022550 0.034689 0.049108 0.066974
2025-09-14 0.001635 0.005863 0.012543 0.022216 0.034802 0.049867 0.068635
2025-09-21 0.001229 0.005234 0.011881 0.021720 0.034684 0.050328 0.069928
2025-09-28 0.000801 0.004438 0.010902 0.020746 0.033926 0.049987 0.070248
2025-10-05 0.000664 0.004254 0.010857 0.021052 0.034800 0.051628 0.072923
2025-10-12 0.000488 0.003916 0.010543 0.020962 0.035150 0.052620 0.074814
2025-10-19 0.000335 0.003572 0.010188 0.020797 0.035389 0.053464 0.076520
2025-10-26 0.000279 0.003504 0.010297 0.021294 0.036495 0.055380 0.079515
2025-11-02 0.000174 0.003200 0.009972 0.021148 0.036742 0.056222 0.081210